Hawaii vacation rental owners receive mixed signals from tourism reports. While some claim declines, actual spending data reveals strong demand for quality accommodations.
Three recent tourism reports paint different pictures for Hawaii vacation rental owners. However, digging deeper reveals positive trends for property investors.
DBEDT reported 771,038 visitors in May 2025, up 1% from last year. Meanwhile, visitor spending jumped 3.7% to $1.68 billion, according to state data.
Sean Dee from Outrigger Hospitality told SFGATE summer looks “flat to 2024.” However, this reflects hotel performance, not vacation rental demand.
Jennifer Chun, DBEDT tourism research director, explained the disconnect: “It’s property by property, airline by airline, how people are doing.” Furthermore, she noted Hawaiian Airlines sees strong direct bookings from “people who may be staying outside of hotels.”
This suggests vacation rentals capture market share while hotels struggle. Additionally, flexible booking options give rentals competitive advantages.
Maui’s recovery particularly benefits vacation rental owners. May arrivals reached 195,784, up 9.2% from 2024, per DBEDT data.
Tourist spending on Maui increased 8.4% year-over-year. Moreover, January through May spending rose 11.3%, showing sustained growth.
David Hu from Pleasant Holidays noted “good momentum of people shifting back to Maui.” Therefore, vacation rental owners positioned correctly benefit from this trend.
While arrivals remain below 2019 levels, spending tells a different story. May 2025 spending exceeded May 2019 by 18.9% statewide.
US West visitors spent $831.1 million, up 47.4% from 2019. Consequently, visitors pay premium prices for quality accommodations.
Despite doom predictions, Hawaiian Airlines expands service. Alex Da Silva confirmed they’re “adding more seats and flights to meet higher summer demand.”
New routes include daily Portland-Honolulu flights and increased West Coast connections. Additionally, they’re boosting Airbus 321neo fleet operations by 16%.
Airlines don’t add capacity without demand. Therefore, this expansion proves continued visitor interest.
DBEDT Director James Tokioka noted booking windows shrank from 120 days to “month for the month.” However, this benefits flexible vacation rental owners.
Hotels struggle with last-minute bookings due to rigid policies. Meanwhile, vacation rentals offer flexibility travelers now demand.
Bruce Fisher from Hawaii Aloha Travel called June “significantly down.” Nevertheless, he refers to package bookings, not direct vacation rental reservations.
The University of Hawaii forecasted 4% visitor declines over two years. However, spending patterns show visitors prioritize quality over quantity.
Daily spending reached $248 from US West and $279 from US East visitors. Therefore, travelers willing to pay seek superior accommodations.
Hotel executives worry while vacation rental owners prosper. Furthermore, direct booking platforms bypass traditional distribution channels.
Chun’s observation about Hawaiian Airlines reveals the trend: “It may be receiving a good chunk of direct bookings from people who may be staying outside of hotels.”
International arrivals dropped, particularly from Japan (down 59.5%). However, domestic travelers compensate with higher spending rates.
Smart vacation rental owners capitalize on current trends. First, embrace shorter booking windows with flexible policies.
Second, market directly to bypass worried wholesalers. Additionally, highlight value propositions hotels can’t match.
The $6 million Maui marketing campaign will drive awareness. Moreover, vacation rentals capture benefits without hotels’ overhead.
Recovery predictions extend to 2028, creating long-term opportunities. Therefore, patient investors holding quality properties will prosper.
This is an AI-generated analysis based on the following articles:
‘DBEDT: Maui visitor arrivals lag in May; officials expect soft summer for tourism’ originally reported by Maui Now. Read original
‘Hawaii tourism is ‘significantly down,’ and experts are worried’ originally reported by SFGATE. Read original
‘Hawaii’s Tourism Sector Shows Steady Growth with Increased May Visitor Spending’ originally reported by Maui County News. Read original